'17

Top 4 SemisCollege

2017 Fullerton College Semis: Georgetown KL (#2) vs Berkeley MS (#3)

Georgetown KL vs Berkeley MS, Semis, Fullerton 2017

Jan 10, 20175.8k

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Affirmative

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Plan — USFG bans use of HFO in US Arctic shipping
Advantage 1: Ecosystem Collapse — HFO does not evaporate, is impossible to clean up in Arctic conditions, spill response virtually nonexistent; spill leads to total ecosystem collapse (CSC 16); Arctic is a keystone ecosystem whose disruption triggers global cascade (WWF 10)
Advantage 1 internal link — Spill Inevitable — harsh Arctic environment makes accidents more likely; even ideal-condition response is nearly impossible with heavy oils; three cleanup methods all fail with HFO (G&14)
Advantage 2: Black Carbon / Climate — HFO shipping emits black carbon that darkens snow/ice, accelerates melt, overwhelms reductions elsewhere (Strier 15, Griv 14, Homer 16)
Black Carbon Impact — AMOC Disruption — warming disrupts Atlantic meridional overturning circulation, causing sudden cooling, famine-inducing drop in human carrying capacity (C&15, R&14)
US Leadership — US can push IMO for broader HFO regulation; Arctic Council lacks action; US leadership spurs regional agreement (prior 16, C&15)
Biodiversity / Extinction framing — biodiversity collapse is a unique risk that overcomes adaptive capacity; human forcing already exceeds planetary boundaries (Bron, various)

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